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澳元投资失误令中信泰富股价暴跌55%

发布者: chrislau2001 | 发布时间: 2008-10-22 13:34| 查看数: 2139| 评论数: 1|

Citic Pacific Sees $2 Billion Bad-Bet Hit

Citic Pacific Ltd. shares plunged 55% as the company scrambled to minimize the fallout from its admission that leveraged currency positions could lead to nearly $2 billion of losses.

On Tuesday, Citic Pacific, a Hong Kong-listed company with Chinese financial backing, said it had demoted or disciplined an unspecified number of employees from its finance department, including the daughter of Chairman Larry Yung. The company said it was in talks to sell all or part of its 56.67% stake in Dah Chong Hong Holdings Ltd., a listed automobile dealer and distributor of home products. Citic Pacific didn't offer a reason, but any deal would help it raise cash.

Earlier Tuesday, analysts continued to blast the company for its handling of the currency debacle. Most critically for investors, Citic Pacific has expressed reluctance to unwind the bad bets and realize its losses, apparently in the hopes of recouping its money should the Australian dollar rebound.

'The company doesn't have the appetite to close out right now,' said Danie Schutte, an analyst covering Hong Kong conglomerates at CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets.

Shares of Citic Pacific, a component of Hong Kong's benchmark Hang Seng Index, closed at HK$6.52 (84 U.S. cents) Tuesday, 85% off their high for the year.

According to the company, it ran afoul of currency positions placed through structured products dubbed 'accumulators.' One such product is a contract in which an investor agrees to buy a specified amount of a security or currency at a fixed price over a particular time period, subject to certain conditions. The price often represents a discount to the spot market.

So long as a security or currency is appreciating, the investor benefits by earning a yield on the difference between the fixed price and the trading value. But they can lead to steep losses on the downside when the security or currency falls below the purchase price.

Citic Pacific says it is invested in accumulators whose value is about nine billion Australian dollars (US$6.33 billion). The contracts require the company to purchase the Australian currency at a fixed price of 87 U.S. cents.

After reaching a high of roughly 98 U.S. cents in July, the Australian dollar has fallen sharply in recent months and now trades around 69 U.S. cents.

While the company's losing position could reverse itself if the Australian dollar rallies against the U.S. currency, most analysts predict a further slide, which could lead to steeper losses.

The company said it will mark to market the accumulators and other derivatives Dec. 31. It has unwound some derivatives contracts, resulting in a total realized loss of HK$807.7 million (US$104.2 million), it said in a statement. Citic Pacific has similar contracts linked to the value of the euro and Chinese yuan. The company said its trading counterparties include Citigroup Inc., HSBC Holdings PLC and BNP Paribas SA. Citigroup and HSBC declined to comment. A spokeswoman at BNP couldn't be reached.

Citic Pacific, an affiliate of China's Citic Group, operates an iron-ore mine in Western Australia, a capital-intensive project that requires that the company purchase equipment and supplies in Australian dollars. Initially, the accumulators represented a way to finance those costs, while providing a cushion against a weakening of the Australian currency.

最新评论

chrislau2001 发表于 2008-10-22 13:34:26


信泰富有限公司(Citic Pacific Ltd., 简称:中信泰富)的股价周二暴跌55%,该公司此前承认其手中的杠杆货币头寸有可能导致近20亿美元的损失。中信泰富目前正紧急行动将这一事件造成的后果降至最小。


中信泰富是一家有中资背景的香港上市企业,该公司周二称,其财务部的几名员工已被降职或处分,其中包括公司董事局主席荣智健(Larry Yung)的女儿。中信泰富称,它正在洽商将自己所持汽车经销商和家用产品分销商大昌行集团(Dah Chong Hong Holdings Ltd.)56.67%的股份全部或部分出售。该公司没有说为何要出售这家上市公司的股份,但出售股份有助于中信泰富获得资金。

周二早些时候,分析师们仍在继续炮轰中信泰富对这项外汇投资巨亏事件的处理。投资者意见最大的一点是,中信泰富已表示不愿意解除这项判断失误的投资而将损失入帐,该公司显然还寄希望于澳元有朝一日反弹能让其抹去损失。

里昂证券亚太区市场(CLSA Asia-Pacific Markets)跟踪研究香港大企业的分析师丹尼•舒特(Danie Schutte)说,这家公司目前并不打算平仓了结。

中信泰富是香港恒生指数的成份股,该股周二收于6.52港元(合0.84美元),较年内高点下跌了85%。

中信泰富称,它通过俗称“累计期权合约”(accumulators)的结构性产品持有一批货币头寸。在满足某些条件的前提下,这一合约的投资者承诺会在某一特定时间段内以某一固定价格购买一定数量的某种证券或货币。其购买价常常低于现货市场价格。

只要所购证券或货币不断升值,投资者就能赚取所享受的固定购买价和所购产品市场交易价之间的差价。但如果所购证券或货币的市价降至合约规定的固定购买价之下,投资者就有可能蒙受巨额损失。

中信泰富称,它投资了价值约90亿澳元(合63.3亿美元)的累计期权合约。根据合约,该公司需要以1澳元兑0.87美元的固定价购买澳元。

但自从今年7月升至1澳元兑0.98美元高点以后,澳元兑美元汇率最近几个月已大幅下挫,目前约为1澳元兑0.69美元。

如果澳元兑美元出现回升,中信泰富这项投资的损失有可能缩小甚至消除,但多数分析师预计澳元兑美元汇率还将进一步下滑,从而使中信泰富蒙受更大损失。

该公司表示,它12月31日时将按市价核算上述累计期权合约和其他衍生金融产品的价值。中信泰富在一项声明中称,它已经解除了一些衍生金融产品合约,共录得损失8.077亿港元(合1.042亿美元)。该公司手中还握有与欧元和人民币挂钩的累计期权合约。中信泰富称,其交易对手包括花旗集团(Citigroup Inc.)、汇丰控股(HSBC Holdings PLC)和法国巴黎银行(BNP Paribas SA)。花旗和汇丰拒绝发表评论。目前无法联系到法国巴黎银行的发言人。

中信泰富是中国中信集团(Citic Group)的子公司,它在西澳大利亚经营着一个铁矿,为此该公司需要以澳元购买设备和供应品。中信泰富起初是想通过购买累计期权合约来支付那些费用,并对冲澳元汇率走低产生的经营风险。
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