近日，在一档博客节目中，马斯克提出了他关于手机的大胆预测：未来5-6年内传统意义上的手机和应用程序将会消失，人们大多数的消费内容将由AI生成。

Tesla CEO Elon Musk shared a radical vision on a recent podcast, predicting that within the next five to six years, traditional mobile phones and apps will become obsolete, with the majority of human-consumed content being generated by artificial intelligence.

马斯克认为，未来将不再有操作系统和应用程序，手机仅仅负责显示像素和发出声音。手机会预测你最想看和听什么，然后实时生成这些内容。

“传统意义上的手机会消失，我们称之为‘手机’的实际上是用于AI推理的边缘节点，配备了一些无线电模块用以连接。”马斯克提出的观点认为，本质上，服务器端的AI将与用户端的AI（以前被叫做手机）进行通信，实时生成用户想要的任何视频。

“In the future, there will be no operating system, no apps. Your phone will just display pixels and emit sound. It will predict what you most want to see and hear, and then generate it in real time. We will integrate AI into this device as much as possible,” Musk said.

He further explained, “There will no longer be mobile phones in the traditional sense. What we call mobile phones are actually edge nodes for AI inference, equipped with some wireless modules for connection.” According to Musk, server-side AI will essentially communicate with on-device AI, formerly known as mobile phones, generating real-time video content tailored to user desires.

当被问到这样的未来何时到来，马斯克的回答是“5-6年内”。

Upon asking about the advent of such a future, Musk said, “the dawn of such an era overtaken by AI will be just 5 to 6 years away.”

马斯克曾在今年9月的All-In峰会上提出预测：AI将在2026年超越单个人类智商，2030年超越全人类智慧总和。

At the All-In Summit this September, Musk stated, “my guess is that we might have AI smarter than any single human at anything as soon as next year (2026). And then, probably within five years, like say, 2030, AI is smarter than the sum of all humans.”

此外，马斯克还透露了特斯拉即将展示一款飞行汽车原型，称“这将会是场令人难忘的产品演示”。

“We're getting close to demonstrating the prototype,” Musk said. “One thing I can guarantee is that this product demo will be unforgettable.”

Musk said that the car would “hopefully” be unveiled “in a couple months”.

马斯克还想象说，“我们生活在一个引力刚好允许我们离开地球的星球上——像是电子游戏设置在最高难度但并非不可能。”现在，我们正在这个“游戏”中迎来最关键的关卡：要么通过AI和技术实现前所未有的富足，要么在意识形态和谎言中走向文明崩溃。

编辑：左卓

实习生：李昂

来源：第一财经 乔·罗根体验秀